previous: Checking and Credit Cards as Virtualization
Before going on to the use of computer devices, in particular smartphones, to de-coin and virtualize the economy, it would be good to consider the accounting system from the point of view of the government and the Federal Reserve System.
As pointed out in Chapter 1, the economy of the 19th century changed so fast that the arts of banking and governance were inadequate to prevent a series of cyclical booms and depressions, cumulating in the Great Depression that kicked off at the end of 1929. The accounting system of the time was thought to be adequate to the task, but it was unable to give clear indications of coming financial disasters. In fact, the system and its interpretation by humans contributed to the boom-bust cycle. Nevertheless, The Accounting System can be said to have been born out of ordinary accounting and other developments that came in quick succession after 1929.
At the beginning of 1929 a number of past problems were considered solved by economists, politicians, business executives, capitalists, and even ordinary people.
Paper money had solved a lot of problems. It had become standardized. Banks could no longer issue circulating bank notes; only the U.S. Treasury could issue paper money. This was something of a revolution. While counterfeiting existed, for the most part American paper money was self-proving. Unlike a paper check, you did not have to worry if there was money in a deposit account to back it. The government backed it. Compared to coin it was much lighter and much more portable. You still needed coin in 1929 only because a one-dollar bill bought so much. With a briefcase full of $100 bills you could buy a mansion or a boat load of bootleg whiskey.
Critics of paper currency were suspicious of substituting paper and ink, which were almost valueless, for metal coins they thought had intrinsic value. They pointed to past trouble with governments printing so much money that it lost much of its value, including during the Revolutionary War. The hyper-inflation in Germany in the 1920s, which resulted from massive money printing not backed by economic activity, was also a fair caution.
But the U.S. did not print too much money. The asset inflation (high prices for stocks and real estate) of the 1920s resulted from money (not cash, but accounting money) being focused on those assets. People bought stocks and real estate because they thought they would keep going up. They spent money to make more money.
What is accounting money? Recall our late Middle Ages Italian city-state banker, and in 1929 the first thing you should note is that only a few things had changed. Reserves were now set by law, and were spread over the Federal Reserve System. But each bank had very little cash in its vaults compared to the amount of money it carried on its accounting books. The depositors' money was simply some numbers kept on a ledger, and the creditors' debt in money was kept on a ledger. In normal times that was fine. The creditors had used the loans they took to buy things of value, like houses and business assets (and, unfortunately, stocks they had bought at inflated prices). As they paid them back, accounting entries were made that gave the bank more money, which would then be available to pay out to depositors, to take as profit, and to cover the normal costs of running a bank.
This is a key point that most people don't get. Already, by 1929, almost all money, the count of what people held to be of material value, was in the accounting system. It was not paper money; it was ledger entries on paper. The Crash and Depression did not happen because there was too much or too little paper money or gold. It happened because of a combination of human folly (buying overpriced stocks, followed by panic) and the nature of the accounting system.
Next: #11, The Great Unraveling of 1930
[The Accounting System, Your Fate is in the Cloud, is a work in progress by William P. Meyers, ©2013]
Showing posts with label paper currency. Show all posts
Showing posts with label paper currency. Show all posts
Tuesday, May 28, 2013
Friday, April 26, 2013
The Accounting System #5: Physical Money As Portable Accounting
previous: #4: The Big Reversal
During the Age of Coin the normal relation of reality to symbols of reality was inverted for many people. This inversion permeates human culture even today, long after the Age of Coin (roughly 1400 to 1900) has faded into history.
Leaving aside human relations, possessions and their use are generally believed to hold value. Food, clothing, housing, tools, and land have obvious value. Coin, however, came to be the common denominator allowing people to think about the value of mixtures of types of possessions. A farmer could come up with a total numeric value of his land, cows, sheep, and money held in bank accounts and cash. An urban investor know how much his stocks were worth, and the shares of companies they represented in turn could be accounted for in terms of projected future profits and current assets that might include factories, inventories, and money in bank accounts, less what was owed on loans.
It was a convenient fiction that any citizen could turn all assets into a pile of coin or paper currency, stand naked beside the pile, and know his or her worth. Even more conveniently, one could come close to this by selling everything, putting the resulting money into a bank account, and looking at a single number on a bank statement.
In reality not everyone could convert all their assets to currency or even into bank accounts at once. There was not enough currency to meet the demand if too many people demanded cash at any given time. The history of the United States of America, from colonial times until the creation of the Federal Reserve, was punctuated by proofs of this. Metallic coin, preferably silver or gold coin, was always in short supply because at first it had to be imported. After about 1850, when large amounts of gold and silver were found and mined in the states, coin remained in short supply because the rest of the economy expanded at such a fast rate. The Free Silver (coinage) and Greenback political campaigns encapsulated the deadening effect on the economy of the mindset that only gold could be real money, or represent real value.
Going back to our naked ape sitting beside a pile of coin (perhaps have kept aside a knife or six-shooter to defend it with), pretty soon, except in cases of insanity, hunger or discomfort would lead to spending down the pile. If no one was willing to trade food for gold, the pile was useless, and without value. We know from history that in times of famine scraps of food came to be "worth their weight in gold."
Another problem would occur if everyone tried to liquidate their assets at once. In that hypothetical situation, there would be no buyers. The value of truly valuable things drops to nothing if buyers cannot be found. This can be true even when there is plenty of money (coin, cash, account balances, or credit) to buy the assets. Thus we have had a series of asset bubbles over the centuries, some of the most famous being the Tulip bubble, the South Seas bubble, the Florida land bubble, the Internet stock bubble, the housing bubble of 2005-2006, and (as of April 15, 2013) the Gold bubble. In a bubble money is traded for something believed to have real value, until only the most foolish citizens can't see that the money value exceeds the real value. Then, when buyers become scarce enough, bubbles burst. Tulips are just tulips again, not investments. (My favorite bubbles: tropical fish bubbles and the farmed mink bubble).
Next: #6: Counting, Coins, and Crashes
[The Accounting System, Your Fate is in the Cloud, is a work in progress by William P. Meyers, ©2013]
During the Age of Coin the normal relation of reality to symbols of reality was inverted for many people. This inversion permeates human culture even today, long after the Age of Coin (roughly 1400 to 1900) has faded into history.
Leaving aside human relations, possessions and their use are generally believed to hold value. Food, clothing, housing, tools, and land have obvious value. Coin, however, came to be the common denominator allowing people to think about the value of mixtures of types of possessions. A farmer could come up with a total numeric value of his land, cows, sheep, and money held in bank accounts and cash. An urban investor know how much his stocks were worth, and the shares of companies they represented in turn could be accounted for in terms of projected future profits and current assets that might include factories, inventories, and money in bank accounts, less what was owed on loans.
It was a convenient fiction that any citizen could turn all assets into a pile of coin or paper currency, stand naked beside the pile, and know his or her worth. Even more conveniently, one could come close to this by selling everything, putting the resulting money into a bank account, and looking at a single number on a bank statement.
In reality not everyone could convert all their assets to currency or even into bank accounts at once. There was not enough currency to meet the demand if too many people demanded cash at any given time. The history of the United States of America, from colonial times until the creation of the Federal Reserve, was punctuated by proofs of this. Metallic coin, preferably silver or gold coin, was always in short supply because at first it had to be imported. After about 1850, when large amounts of gold and silver were found and mined in the states, coin remained in short supply because the rest of the economy expanded at such a fast rate. The Free Silver (coinage) and Greenback political campaigns encapsulated the deadening effect on the economy of the mindset that only gold could be real money, or represent real value.
Going back to our naked ape sitting beside a pile of coin (perhaps have kept aside a knife or six-shooter to defend it with), pretty soon, except in cases of insanity, hunger or discomfort would lead to spending down the pile. If no one was willing to trade food for gold, the pile was useless, and without value. We know from history that in times of famine scraps of food came to be "worth their weight in gold."
Another problem would occur if everyone tried to liquidate their assets at once. In that hypothetical situation, there would be no buyers. The value of truly valuable things drops to nothing if buyers cannot be found. This can be true even when there is plenty of money (coin, cash, account balances, or credit) to buy the assets. Thus we have had a series of asset bubbles over the centuries, some of the most famous being the Tulip bubble, the South Seas bubble, the Florida land bubble, the Internet stock bubble, the housing bubble of 2005-2006, and (as of April 15, 2013) the Gold bubble. In a bubble money is traded for something believed to have real value, until only the most foolish citizens can't see that the money value exceeds the real value. Then, when buyers become scarce enough, bubbles burst. Tulips are just tulips again, not investments. (My favorite bubbles: tropical fish bubbles and the farmed mink bubble).
Next: #6: Counting, Coins, and Crashes
[The Accounting System, Your Fate is in the Cloud, is a work in progress by William P. Meyers, ©2013]
Sunday, April 21, 2013
The Accounting System #4: The Big Reversal
Previous: Banks, Credit Cycles, and Gold
Decade by decade, The Accounting System grew in size and importance. Since some of the accounting by corporations listed on the American stock markets was found to be fraudulent in the aftermath (pun intended) of the 1929 crash, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) undertook to establish public accounting standards. Over time these came to be issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board. The Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) are used by all accountants in the United States. Similar systems are used in other nations.
When a statement about money is made that diverges from GAAP, accountants refer to those figures as non-GAAP. Non-GAAP figures issued by publically listed corporations during the Internet Stock Bubble led to the current era in which any non-GAAP figures released by traded companies are expected to be issued with an explanation of their relationship to GAAP figures.
The possession by individuals of gold coins and bullion (but not jewelry) was illegal in the U.S. from 1933 to 1974. Because there was inflation during this period, some economists claim the gold standard is necessary for a sound economy. Reasoning from ideology rather from fact, they refuse to look at the fact that using gold as money had been a historic disaster. Overall 1933 to 1974 for a great run for the American economy, showing that the gold standard had holding the nation back, rather than helping, back before 1929.
Credit cards as an idea go back at least as far as the novel Looking Backwards by Edward Bellamy, first published in 1887. Credit cards in their modern form first became common in the 1960s, when perhaps 100 million were mailed, often unsolicited, to bank customers. While there are many other forms of credit, including business loans, loans on property, and student loans, the credit card and its relative the debit card put The Accounting System in the pockets of most Americans (and their international equivalents).
This led to a paradoxical role reversal. We do our accounting in units of coin (the dollar in the U.S., originally silver coins issued by the Dutch and then Spanish governments). For portability these units are mainly represented by paper currency, mostly in the form of $20 bills accessed from ATMs. While banks count paper currency in their accounting systems, and businesses still account for such bills until they can be turned into real money (bank deposits), individuals seldom systematically account for the cash they carry or keep. Each note has a serial number, which the Federal government records, largely as a defense against counterfeiting.
In effect cash is now at the periphery of The Accounting System. Almost all money in the United States, and even globally, now consists of entries in the accounting system. These entries are not even hard copies on paper ledgers. They are held in computer databases. They are electronic representations of 1's and 0's. If something ate the banking aspect of the accounting system, they would disappear.
Thus units of value were once counted by coin, but now value is direct relation of numbers of virtual accounting dollars to whatever real goods and services they can buy at any given time.
The Internet itself led to another major expansion of The Accounting System, and a consolidation of its power over people. The Internet tied computers together, including the computers used by banks, government, corporations and individuals for accounting. This led to pressure on individuals and businesses to use electronic fund transfers rather than physical checks for all deposits and withdrawals. Physical checks are now photographed rather than returned to their writers after cancellation. We are rapidly moving in the direction of it being difficult to use cash or even paper checks to make payments for goods and services. Physical property is increasingly identified; even ordinary jewelry diamonds have small serial numbers burned into them.
All sorts of extensions of The Accounting System have come into existence. Medical records are being virtualized. Most forms of messaging via Internet go into permanent records. Almost every action made by any individual on the Internet is recorded, and those "personal profiles" are increasingly being exchanged by corporations and governments.
The Accounting System knows what your balance is, your debt level and credit worthiness, where you shop, what you like, what you own, and whether you can get permission to drive or fly on a commercial airline or cross an international border.
The Accounting System is not just counting and recording. It is an increasingly active system that determines the fates of individuals. It has traps for the unwary and free rides for the privileged. Parts of it are fair, but much of it is biased.
Next, the virtualization of money will be examined at a much higher level of detail.
Next: #5: Physical Money as Portable Accounting
[The Accounting System, Your Fate is in the Cloud, is a work in progress by William P. Meyers, ©2013]
Decade by decade, The Accounting System grew in size and importance. Since some of the accounting by corporations listed on the American stock markets was found to be fraudulent in the aftermath (pun intended) of the 1929 crash, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) undertook to establish public accounting standards. Over time these came to be issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board. The Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) are used by all accountants in the United States. Similar systems are used in other nations.
When a statement about money is made that diverges from GAAP, accountants refer to those figures as non-GAAP. Non-GAAP figures issued by publically listed corporations during the Internet Stock Bubble led to the current era in which any non-GAAP figures released by traded companies are expected to be issued with an explanation of their relationship to GAAP figures.
The possession by individuals of gold coins and bullion (but not jewelry) was illegal in the U.S. from 1933 to 1974. Because there was inflation during this period, some economists claim the gold standard is necessary for a sound economy. Reasoning from ideology rather from fact, they refuse to look at the fact that using gold as money had been a historic disaster. Overall 1933 to 1974 for a great run for the American economy, showing that the gold standard had holding the nation back, rather than helping, back before 1929.
Credit cards as an idea go back at least as far as the novel Looking Backwards by Edward Bellamy, first published in 1887. Credit cards in their modern form first became common in the 1960s, when perhaps 100 million were mailed, often unsolicited, to bank customers. While there are many other forms of credit, including business loans, loans on property, and student loans, the credit card and its relative the debit card put The Accounting System in the pockets of most Americans (and their international equivalents).
This led to a paradoxical role reversal. We do our accounting in units of coin (the dollar in the U.S., originally silver coins issued by the Dutch and then Spanish governments). For portability these units are mainly represented by paper currency, mostly in the form of $20 bills accessed from ATMs. While banks count paper currency in their accounting systems, and businesses still account for such bills until they can be turned into real money (bank deposits), individuals seldom systematically account for the cash they carry or keep. Each note has a serial number, which the Federal government records, largely as a defense against counterfeiting.
In effect cash is now at the periphery of The Accounting System. Almost all money in the United States, and even globally, now consists of entries in the accounting system. These entries are not even hard copies on paper ledgers. They are held in computer databases. They are electronic representations of 1's and 0's. If something ate the banking aspect of the accounting system, they would disappear.
Thus units of value were once counted by coin, but now value is direct relation of numbers of virtual accounting dollars to whatever real goods and services they can buy at any given time.
The Internet itself led to another major expansion of The Accounting System, and a consolidation of its power over people. The Internet tied computers together, including the computers used by banks, government, corporations and individuals for accounting. This led to pressure on individuals and businesses to use electronic fund transfers rather than physical checks for all deposits and withdrawals. Physical checks are now photographed rather than returned to their writers after cancellation. We are rapidly moving in the direction of it being difficult to use cash or even paper checks to make payments for goods and services. Physical property is increasingly identified; even ordinary jewelry diamonds have small serial numbers burned into them.
All sorts of extensions of The Accounting System have come into existence. Medical records are being virtualized. Most forms of messaging via Internet go into permanent records. Almost every action made by any individual on the Internet is recorded, and those "personal profiles" are increasingly being exchanged by corporations and governments.
The Accounting System knows what your balance is, your debt level and credit worthiness, where you shop, what you like, what you own, and whether you can get permission to drive or fly on a commercial airline or cross an international border.
The Accounting System is not just counting and recording. It is an increasingly active system that determines the fates of individuals. It has traps for the unwary and free rides for the privileged. Parts of it are fair, but much of it is biased.
Next, the virtualization of money will be examined at a much higher level of detail.
Next: #5: Physical Money as Portable Accounting
[The Accounting System, Your Fate is in the Cloud, is a work in progress by William P. Meyers, ©2013]
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